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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Poor Rangerswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 41 game
73%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 39 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 38 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 36 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
erase · 32 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 31 game
52%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 31 game
77%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 30 games
73%

Poor Rangers

Lich
Lich
Hduo · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnus
TA2000 · 2 games
100%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axe
Alberkaaa · 1 game
100%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
100%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
TA2000 · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Immersion · 1 game
100%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
594 picks · 363 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
487 picks · 579 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
481 picks · 259 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 384 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
400 picks · 549 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
337 picks · 907 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
332 picks · 837 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
322 picks · 276 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:19
HULIGANI 56%Poor Rangers 44%
The model gave 56% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Poor Rangers in 46:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendssnovv1
50% · 206 games56% · 23 games
Zeusnicky`cool
Zeus
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMirage
47% · 273 games60% · 44 games
Drow RangerTA2000
Drow Ranger
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerCorrupted
50% · 121 game45% · 348 games
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
Beastmaster
Snapfire
Snapfiresayuw
48% · 196 games48% · 301 game
PhoenixImmersion
Phoenix
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorRESPECT
60% · 119 games47% · 199 games
ClockwerkHduo
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed11:32
HULIGANI 55%Poor Rangers 45%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Poor Rangers in 31:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightMirage
49% · 127 games35% · 28 games
Drow RangerTA2000
Drow Ranger
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidssnovv1
49% · 99 games50% · 58 games
Vipernicky`cool
Viper
Doom
DoomCorrupted
54% · 169 games47% · 181 game
Centaur WarrunnerAlberkaaa
Centaur Warrunner
Snapfire
Snapfiresayuw
58% · 282 games53% · 159 games
WindrangerImmersion
Windranger
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernRESPECT
51% · 28 games45% · 279 games
TuskHduo
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 59%
Series resultPoor Rangers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2