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CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
JustBetterloss 0:1
series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Night Pulsewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

JustBetter

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Astral · 17 games
29%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
ThuG · 14 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Astral · 11 games
64%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
SsaSpartan · 11 games
36%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Focus · 10 games
10%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Focus · 9 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
SsaSpartan · 8 games
13%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Astral · 8 games
25%

Night Pulse

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 17 games
47%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 16 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Kami · 15 games
53%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 14 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Hduo · 13 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
JANTER · 13 games
62%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
417 picks · 307 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
415 picks · 429 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
399 picks · 900 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
394 picks · 819 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
360 picks · 532 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
360 picks · 712 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
346 picks · 483 bans
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
314 picks · 530 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 53%
Hero pool strength63% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
JustBetter 15%Night Pulse 85%
The model gave 85% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 85%
Series resultNight Pulse 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1