CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
V1dar Gamingloss 0:2series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelionswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V1dar Gaming
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
dizzying · 2 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
dizzying · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Difference · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Groom · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
Difference · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Difference · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 1 game
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
415 picks · 307 bans
Hoodwink
413 picks · 428 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 900 bans
Weaver
394 picks · 819 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 534 bans
Phoenix
359 picks · 712 bans
Clockwerk
346 picks · 483 bans
Dragon Knight
315 picks · 528 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:17
V1dar Gaming 15%Dandelions 85%
The model gave 85% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 8:53.
Game 2prediction correct19:34
V1dar Gaming 15%Dandelions 85%
The model gave 85% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 29:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 85%
Series resultDandelions 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2