CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dragon Esportsloss 0:2series probability
9%91%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Teawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dragon Esports
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 10 games
Ursaoften banned
paw · 10 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
paw · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
dualrazee · 8 games
Sand Kingoften banned
dualrazee · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Norma · 6 games
Broodmotheroften banned
dualrazee · 6 games
Morphlingoften banned
paw · 6 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
415 picks · 306 bans
Hoodwink
414 picks · 428 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 901 bans
Weaver
394 picks · 818 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 534 bans
Phoenix
359 picks · 711 bans
Clockwerk
346 picks · 484 bans
Dragon Knight
316 picks · 527 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 61%
Hero pool strength57% Team Tea
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total91% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:21
Dragon Esports 9%Team Tea 91%
The model gave 91% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 38:55.
Game 2prediction correct24:21
Dragon Esports 9%Team Tea 91%
The model gave 91% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 32:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 91%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2