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CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 1:2
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Montewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Dandelions

No games played over 6 months.

Monte

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 11 games
36%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
EcNart · 11 games
27%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
45%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 11 games
55%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
55%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 10 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 9 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
413 picks · 421 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
409 picks · 306 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
403 picks · 902 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
394 picks · 813 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
354 picks · 538 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
354 picks · 708 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
347 picks · 482 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
315 picks · 384 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 31%
Hero pool strength54% Dandelions
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total68% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:11
Dandelions 68%Monte 32%
The model gave 68% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 35:46.
Game 2prediction missed24:10
Dandelions 68%Monte 32%
The model gave 68% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 30:29.
Game 3prediction missed22:36
Dandelions 68%Monte 32%
The model gave 68% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 43:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 68%
Series resultMonte 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3