CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
V1dar Gamingloss 1:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Hryvniawin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V1dar Gaming
Gyrocopteroften banned
dizzying · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 1 game
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
410 picks · 419 bans
Rubick
409 picks · 305 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 902 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 813 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 537 bans
Phoenix
352 picks · 706 bans
Clockwerk
347 picks · 480 bans
Gyrocopter
315 picks · 385 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Team Hryvnia
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:5
V1dar Gaming 35%Team Hryvnia 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Hryvnia — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming in 27:56.
Game 2prediction correct13:27
V1dar Gaming 35%Team Hryvnia 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Hryvnia — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia in 31:04.
Game 3prediction correct17:34
V1dar Gaming 35%Team Hryvnia 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Hryvnia — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia in 43:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Hryvnia · 65%
Series resultTeam Hryvnia 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3