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CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Teawin 2:1
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:1
JustBetterloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Tea

No games played over 6 months.

JustBetter

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Astral · 15 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
ThuG · 14 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Astral · 11 games
64%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
SsaSpartan · 11 games
36%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Focus · 10 games
10%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
SsaSpartan · 8 games
13%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Astral · 8 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Astral · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
405 picks · 301 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
404 picks · 418 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
402 picks · 898 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
391 picks · 805 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 535 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
346 picks · 699 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
343 picks · 478 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
315 picks · 382 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Tea 83%JustBetter 17%
The model gave 83% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Tea 83%JustBetter 17%
The model gave 83% on Team Tea — the game was taken by JustBetter.
Game 3prediction correct
Team Tea 83%JustBetter 17%
The model gave 83% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 83%
Series resultTeam Tea 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3