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Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nigma Galaxywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

G2 Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Nigma Galaxy

Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Fbz · 18 games
72%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
KuroKy · 14 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
KuroKy · 11 games
55%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Miracle- · 11 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 11 games
82%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fbz · 10 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
SumaiL · 10 games
30%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Matthew · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
403 picks · 418 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
401 picks · 895 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
399 picks · 301 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
390 picks · 803 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
348 picks · 534 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
345 picks · 694 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
342 picks · 478 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
315 picks · 382 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total71% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
G2 Invictus Gaming 71%Nigma Galaxy 29%
The model gave 71% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy.
Game 2prediction missed26:10
G2 Invictus Gaming 71%Nigma Galaxy 29%
The model gave 71% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 45:59.
Game 3prediction missed14:23
G2 Invictus Gaming 71%Nigma Galaxy 29%
The model gave 71% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 30:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 71%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3