CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Hryvniawin 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Dandelionsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
402 picks · 897 bans
Hoodwink
401 picks · 415 bans
Rubick
395 picks · 301 bans
Weaver
387 picks · 802 bans
Pangolier
347 picks · 537 bans
Phoenix
344 picks · 688 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 478 bans
Gyrocopter
313 picks · 382 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 62%
Hero pool strength50% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Hryvnia 41%Dandelions 59%
The model gave 59% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Hryvnia 41%Dandelions 59%
The model gave 59% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions.
Game 3prediction missed
Team Hryvnia 41%Dandelions 59%
The model gave 59% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 59%
Series resultTeam Hryvnia 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3