CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Tealoss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Night Pulse
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
Doomoften banned
Kami · 15 games
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 15 games
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 14 games
Grimstrokesignature
Hduo · 13 games
Hoodwinksignature
JANTER · 13 games
Phoenixsignature
Hduo · 13 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
402 picks · 414 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 896 bans
Rubick
393 picks · 298 bans
Weaver
384 picks · 803 bans
Pangolier
348 picks · 538 bans
Phoenix
343 picks · 683 bans
Clockwerk
336 picks · 477 bans
Gyrocopter
316 picks · 383 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% Night Pulse
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total59% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Night Pulse 41%Team Tea 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Game 2prediction missed
Night Pulse 41%Team Tea 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 59%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2