CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Hryvniawin 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Monteloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Monte
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 11 games
Crystal Maiden
EcNart · 11 games
Dark Willowoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 11 games
Tinyoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 10 games
Rubick
QBFY · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
404 picks · 414 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 896 bans
Rubick
394 picks · 296 bans
Weaver
383 picks · 803 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 537 bans
Phoenix
343 picks · 681 bans
Clockwerk
337 picks · 477 bans
Gyrocopter
316 picks · 383 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 29%
Hero pool strength54% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Monte
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Hryvnia 43%Monte 57%
The model gave 57% on Monte — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Hryvnia 43%Monte 57%
The model gave 57% on Monte — the game was taken by Monte.
Game 3prediction missed
Team Hryvnia 43%Monte 57%
The model gave 57% on Monte — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonte · 57%
Series resultTeam Hryvnia 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3