?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
DMSwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dragon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

DMS

Jakiro
Jakiro
aik · 4 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
prblms · 4 games
50%
Visage
Visageoften banned
Daxak · 4 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 3 games
33%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
mellojul · 3 games
67%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 2 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
prblms · 2 games
100%

Dragon Esports

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 10 games
30%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
paw · 10 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
paw · 8 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
dualrazee · 8 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
dualrazee · 7 games
14%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Norma · 6 games
17%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
dualrazee · 6 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Norma · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
405 picks · 413 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
403 picks · 894 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
394 picks · 296 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
383 picks · 803 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
349 picks · 537 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
343 picks · 680 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
337 picks · 477 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
316 picks · 383 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 29%
Hero pool strength55% DMS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% DMS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
DMS 67%Dragon Esports 33%
The model gave 67% on DMS — the game was taken by DMS.
Game 2prediction correct
DMS 67%Dragon Esports 33%
The model gave 67% on DMS — the game was taken by DMS.
Model check result
Model favoriteDMS · 67%
Series resultDMS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2