Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Estar Backswin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
chandogsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Estar Backs
Treant Protectoroften banned
Accel · 12 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 10 games
Jakiro
Accel · 9 games
Tiny
payk · 6 games
Disruptor
Accel · 4 games
Lone Druidoften banned
payk · 4 games
Omniknight
bsK7- · 4 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
bsK7- · 4 games
chandogs
Ember Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
Gyrocopter
Argius · 2 games
Luna
Argius · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
Puckoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
mini-` · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
591 picks · 361 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
479 picks · 257 bans
Tiny
449 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
398 picks · 548 bans
Puck
337 picks · 904 bans
Beastmaster
330 picks · 835 bans
Tusk
321 picks · 275 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 55%
Hero pool strength57% Estar Backs
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total73% Estar Backs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Estar Backs 73%chandogs 27%
The model gave 73% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Estar Backs.
Game 2prediction correct
Estar Backs 73%chandogs 27%
The model gave 73% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Estar Backs.
Model check result
Model favoriteEstar Backs · 73%
Series resultEstar Backs 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2