EPL Masters I · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TSTeam Syntaxloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Tinyoften banned
nicky`cool · 38 games
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 32 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 27 games
Windrangersignature
Immersion · 27 games
Chensignature
Hduo · 26 games
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 25 games
Phoenix
Immersion · 21 game
Rubick
Hduo · 16 games
Team Syntax
Tusksignature
Stoic · 8 games
Axeoften banned
emptiness · 5 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
Largooften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
Baneoften banned
Stoic · 4 games
Dark Seeroften banned
emptiness · 4 games
Mirana
Jeezy · 3 games
Phoenix
Jeezy · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
499 picks · 363 bans
Clockwerk
365 picks · 651 bans
Rubick
349 picks · 195 bans
Bane
335 picks · 379 bans
Tiny
322 picks · 349 bans
Ember Spirit
311 picks · 448 bans
Windranger
310 picks · 233 bans
Snapfire
297 picks · 425 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 65%
Hero pool strength51% Team Syntax
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:39
Power Rangers 63%Team Syntax 37%
The model gave 63% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 55:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorbladebashka
Largoemptiness
UnderlordAlberkaaa
RingmasterJeezy
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
BaneStoic
MiranaHduo
Keeper of the LightImmersion
Game 2prediction correct47:41
Power Rangers 62%Team Syntax 38%
The model gave 62% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 38:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Linabashka
Pangolieremptiness
Necrophoskiyotaka
WindrangerJeezy
AxeAlberkaaa
UndyingStoic
SnapfireImmersion
TuskHduo
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 72%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2