Zetta Games vs Hokori — prediction EWCD2ЗК 2026 · Dota 2

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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

Zetta Gamesloss 1:2

series probability

20%80%

probability at match start · final 1:2

Hokoriwin 2:1

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zetta Games

No games played over 6 months.

Hokori

Hoodwink

Genek · 5 games

40%

Clockwerkoften banned

Gardick · 4 games

Treant Protectoroften banned

Gardick · 4 games

50%

Queen of Painoften banned

Lumière · 3 games

33%

Tidehunteroften banned

Vitaly · 3 games

33%

Beastmasteroften banned

Costabile · 2 games

100%

Crystal Maiden

Gardick · 2 games

100%

Death Prophet

Vitaly · 2 games

50%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

588 picks · 361 bans

54%

Phoenix

487 picks · 579 bans

51%

Rubick

479 picks · 256 bans

49%

Tiny

449 picks · 384 bans

50%

Pangolier

397 picks · 547 bans

48%

Puck

337 picks · 901 bans

53%

Beastmaster

330 picks · 832 bans

47%

Ember Spirit

319 picks · 467 bans

50%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)40% vs 56%

Hero pool strength52% Zetta Games

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total80% Hokori

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct1:1

Zetta Games 35%Hokori 65%

The model gave 65% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 15:41.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo