Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 0:2series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Team Liquid
Rubick
Boxi · 35 games
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 34 games
Doomsignature
33 · 31 game
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 30 games
Lunaoften banned
miCKe · 29 games
Tinysignature
Boxi · 29 games
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 26 games
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
399 picks · 399 bans
Tiny
398 picks · 872 bans
Rubick
381 picks · 289 bans
Weaver
375 picks · 783 bans
Pangolier
340 picks · 532 bans
Clockwerk
334 picks · 475 bans
Phoenix
331 picks · 670 bans
Gyrocopter
316 picks · 376 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 46%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total82% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:11
beastcoast 18%Team Liquid 82%
The model gave 82% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 43:05.
Game 2prediction correct35:9
beastcoast 18%Team Liquid 82%
The model gave 82% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 30:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 82%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2