Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Talon Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Talon Esports
Razoroften banned
CHYuan · 16 games
Leshracsignature
CHYuan · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
Jhocam · 13 games
Elder Titansignature
Ponyo · 12 games
Morphlingoften banned
Akashi · 12 games
Batrideroften banned
Jhocam · 11 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
CHYuan · 11 games
Marsoften banned
Ws · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
390 picks · 831 bans
Hoodwink
380 picks · 382 bans
Rubick
370 picks · 268 bans
Weaver
357 picks · 751 bans
Clockwerk
325 picks · 471 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 520 bans
Phoenix
315 picks · 649 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 373 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total63% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:32
G2 Invictus Gaming 63%Talon Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 52:30.
Game 2prediction missed35:14
G2 Invictus Gaming 63%Talon Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 26:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 63%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2