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Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zeroloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Zero

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ponlo · 14 games
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
BEYOND · 12 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
zzq · 12 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
7e · 11 games
73%
Lion
Lionsignature
Ponlo · 10 games
70%
Razor
Razoroften banned
7e · 10 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
zzq · 9 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
BEYOND · 9 games
67%

LGD Gaming

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niu · 21 game
29%
Mars
Marssignature
niu · 20 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Pyw · 17 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Echo · 14 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 14 games
36%
Tusk
Tusk
Pyw · 14 games
43%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
niu · 13 games
62%
Weaver
Weaversignature
shiro · 11 games
82%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
390 picks · 831 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
380 picks · 382 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
370 picks · 268 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
357 picks · 751 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
325 picks · 471 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 520 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
315 picks · 649 bans
49%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 373 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 28%
Hero pool strength56% Team Zero
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:30
Team Zero 40%LGD Gaming 60%
The model gave 60% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 26:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingpoyoyo
50% · 260 games56% · 193 games
Svenshiro
Sven
Beastmaster
BeastmasterBEYOND
51% · 173 games48% · 56 games
Shadow FiendEcho
Shadow Fiend
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit7e
42% · 75 games49% · 155 games
Brewmasterniu
Brewmaster
Chen
ChenPonlo
57% · 108 games54% · 179 games
TinyPyw
Tiny
Jakiro
Jakirozzq
43% · 138 games49% · 171 game
Crystal Maideny`
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct10:25
Team Zero 40%LGD Gaming 60%
The model gave 60% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 35:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterpoyoyo
48% · 340 games54% · 269 games
Svenshiro
Sven
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight7e
47% · 330 games50% · 210 games
TimbersawEcho
Timbersaw
Underlord
UnderlordBEYOND
48% · 88 games58% · 221 game
Primal Beastniu
Primal Beast
Hoodwink
HoodwinkPonlo
47% · 310 games44% · 236 games
PhoenixPyw
Phoenix
Jakiro
Jakirozzq
50% · 123 games54% · 255 games
Crystal Maideny`
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 68%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2