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Elite League Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Panda · 25 games
64%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 19 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 19 games
37%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Panda · 18 games
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Pakazs · 15 games
47%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 15 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 15 games
27%

Team Liquid

Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 33 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 33 games
52%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 30 games
63%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
miCKe · 29 games
52%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 28 games
75%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Boxi · 27 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 25 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
385 picks · 821 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
375 picks · 377 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
361 picks · 264 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
356 picks · 742 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
323 picks · 471 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
318 picks · 515 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
311 picks · 642 bans
49%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
309 picks · 370 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:13
BOOM Esports 28%Team Liquid 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 27:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenParker
45% · 61 game54% · 135 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Sand King
Sand KingDarkMago
56% · 33 games47% · 78 games
Shadow FiendNisha
Shadow Fiend
Dark Seer
Dark SeerSacred
47% · 84 games42% · 32 games
Visage33
Visage
Hoodwink
HoodwinkMatthew
45% · 141 game63% · 87 games
CheniNSaNiA
Chen
Clockwerk
ClockwerkYadomi
51% · 95 games49% · 82 games
Spirit BreakerBoxi
Spirit Breaker
Game 2prediction missed34:22
BOOM Esports 27%Team Liquid 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 41:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingParker
49% · 137 games48% · 171 game
SnapfireNisha
Snapfire
Pangolier
PangolierDarkMago
47% · 215 games50% · 190 games
Dark Seer33
Dark Seer
Tidehunter
TidehunterSacred
45% · 77 games63% · 86 games
SlarkmiCKe
Slark
Hoodwink
HoodwinkMatthew
52% · 184 games51% · 119 games
JakiroiNSaNiA
Jakiro
Elder Titan
Elder TitanYadomi
46% · 96 games50% · 143 games
TuskBoxi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 87%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2