Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Rayloss 1:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Azure Ray
Tinyoften banned
fy · 34 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 25 games
Techies
天命 · 21 game
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 20 games
Lion
fy · 20 games
Timbersawoften banned
Faith_bian · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
fy · 17 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
fy · 17 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
385 picks · 809 bans
Hoodwink
369 picks · 376 bans
Rubick
356 picks · 262 bans
Weaver
353 picks · 736 bans
Clockwerk
321 picks · 471 bans
Pangolier
313 picks · 513 bans
Gyrocopter
309 picks · 371 bans
Phoenix
308 picks · 637 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% G2 Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 4
Model total59% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:7
Azure Ray 41%G2 Invictus Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 30:11.
Game 2prediction correct10:19
Azure Ray 41%G2 Invictus Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 36:01.
Game 3prediction correct15:26
Azure Ray 41%G2 Invictus Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 39:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 59%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3