Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Tinysignature
sayuw · 30 games
Leshracsignature
Squad1x · 20 games
Mirana
Fng · 20 games
Rubick
Antares · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
sayuw · 18 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Fng · 18 games
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 17 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Noticed · 16 games
Team Zero
Tinyoften banned
Ponlo · 14 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
BEYOND · 12 games
Miranasignature
zzq · 12 games
Pangoliersignature
7e · 11 games
Lionsignature
Ponlo · 10 games
Razoroften banned
7e · 10 games
Clockwerksignature
zzq · 9 games
Kunkkasignature
BEYOND · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
385 picks · 809 bans
Hoodwink
369 picks · 376 bans
Rubick
356 picks · 262 bans
Weaver
353 picks · 736 bans
Clockwerk
321 picks · 471 bans
Pangolier
313 picks · 513 bans
Gyrocopter
309 picks · 371 bans
Phoenix
308 picks · 637 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Team Zero
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Virtus.pro 51%Team Zero 49%
The model gave 51% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro.
Game 2prediction correct
Virtus.pro 51%Team Zero 49%
The model gave 51% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 51%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2