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Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 1:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
asdekor_r · 32 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 28 games
64%
Techies
Techies
rue · 26 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
erase · 25 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
asdekor_r · 22 games
64%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
rue · 20 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 17 games
65%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
47%

BOOM Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Panda · 24 games
63%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 19 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 18 games
39%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Panda · 18 games
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Pakazs · 14 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 14 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 14 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
377 picks · 805 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
365 picks · 368 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
352 picks · 258 bans
49%
Weaver
Weaver
346 picks · 732 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
318 picks · 469 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
309 picks · 508 bans
46%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
308 picks · 371 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
306 picks · 629 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:26
Yellow Submarine 55%BOOM Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 28:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightSatanic
55% · 129 games49% · 157 games
Templar AssassinParker
Templar Assassin
Snapfire
Snapfireerase
47% · 151 game51% · 60 games
TidehunterSacred
Tidehunter
Venomancer
Venomancerkasane
57% · 53 games45% · 238 games
RubickDarkMago
Rubick
Weaver
Weaverrue
50% · 220 games51% · 251 game
TinyMatthew
Tiny
Enchantress
Enchantressasdekor_r
46% · 206 games56% · 53 games
MarciYadomi
Marci
Game 2prediction correct28:24
Yellow Submarine 55%BOOM Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 45:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
47% · 190 games52% · 206 games
MorphlingParker
Morphling
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiriterase
45% · 270 games52% · 265 games
PangolierDarkMago
Pangolier
Underlord
Underlordkasane
43% · 105 games58% · 187 games
WeaverSacred
Weaver
Snapfire
Snapfirerue
46% · 176 games54% · 270 games
TinyMatthew
Tiny
Phoenix
Phoenixasdekor_r
50% · 346 games53% · 159 games
SvenYadomi
Sven
Game 3prediction missed7:26
Yellow Submarine 54%BOOM Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 29:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingSatanic
50% · 291 game49% · 206 games
GyrocopterParker
Gyrocopter
Void Spirit
Void Spiriterase
45% · 79 games55% · 140 games
MarsDarkMago
Mars
Beastmaster
Beastmasterkasane
55% · 155 games52% · 191 game
BrewmasterSacred
Brewmaster
Weaver
Weaverrue
54% · 218 games40% · 116 games
SnapfireMatthew
Snapfire
Jakiro
Jakiroasdekor_r
47% · 93 games50% · 183 games
Crystal MaidenYadomi
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 58%
Series resultBOOM Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3