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Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cuyes Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Panda · 24 games
63%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 19 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Panda · 17 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 16 games
31%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 14 games
29%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Pakazs · 13 games
46%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 13 games
46%

Cuyes Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 7 games
86%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Mjz · 4 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
100%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Mjz · 3 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
377 picks · 780 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
351 picks · 353 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
342 picks · 246 bans
49%
Weaver
Weaver
341 picks · 708 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
316 picks · 467 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
305 picks · 499 bans
47%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
303 picks · 370 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
292 picks · 617 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 64%
Hero pool strength53% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:37
BOOM Esports 51%Cuyes Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports in 35:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenParker
47% · 127 games48% · 231 game
RazorMnz
Razor
Rubick
RubickDarkMago
47% · 255 games49% · 193 games
Dark SeerILICH-
Dark Seer
Phoenix
PhoenixSacred
47% · 142 games56% · 362 games
Crystal MaidenMjz
Crystal Maiden
Doom
DoomMatthew
53% · 119 games
Enchantress
EnchantressYadomi
49% · 143 games
Game 2prediction missed8:38
BOOM Esports 51%Cuyes Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports in 34:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterParker
50% · 73 games50% · 96 games
UrsaMnz
Ursa
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDarkMago
57% · 84 games51% · 173 games
BrewmasterILICH-
Brewmaster
Enigma
EnigmaSacred
53% · 43 games48% · 83 games
JakiroMjz
Jakiro
Snapfire
SnapfireMatthew
39% · 67 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkYadomi
52% · 85 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 50%
Series resultCuyes Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2