Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Infinity Esports
Techies
Demon · 10 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 9 games
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Parker · 7 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
Hyko · 6 games
Monkey Kingsignature
PiPi · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
374 picks · 778 bans
Hoodwink
349 picks · 350 bans
Rubick
339 picks · 245 bans
Weaver
339 picks · 708 bans
Clockwerk
316 picks · 467 bans
Pangolier
307 picks · 498 bans
Gyrocopter
301 picks · 372 bans
Phoenix
291 picks · 616 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total63% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:23
beastcoast 63%Infinity Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 52:09.
Game 2prediction missed42:18
beastcoast 63%Infinity Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 36:49.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 63%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2