BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionDDevil_Kingswin 1:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Letoloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Devil_Kings
Axeoften banned
azimoff · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Dinozavrik · 1 game
Leto
Hoodwink
aguwa · 1 game
Largooften banned
zenica · 1 game
Leshrac
Rayx · 1 game
Luna
eva · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
482 picks · 317 bans
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 502 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 386 bans
Bane
314 picks · 435 bans
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 624 bans
Mirana
290 picks · 106 bans
Dark Willow
282 picks · 117 bans
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% Devil_Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Devil_Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Devil_Kings 70%Leto 30%
The model gave 70% on Devil_Kings — the game was taken by Devil_Kings.
Model check result
Model favoriteDevil_Kings · 70%
Series resultDevil_Kings 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1