Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
1w Team
Gyrocoptersignature
RESPECT · 32 games
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 29 games
Crystal Maiden
RESPECT · 22 games
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
Batrideroften banned
RESPECT · 21 game
Lunasignature
Munkushi~ · 20 games
Windrangeroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 18 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
367 picks · 769 bans
Hoodwink
345 picks · 339 bans
Rubick
336 picks · 238 bans
Weaver
336 picks · 695 bans
Clockwerk
313 picks · 466 bans
Pangolier
303 picks · 491 bans
Gyrocopter
298 picks · 371 bans
Phoenix
286 picks · 609 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:27
1w Team 59%beastcoast 41%
The model gave 59% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 40:22.
Game 2prediction correct29:24
1w Team 59%beastcoast 41%
The model gave 59% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 46:55.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 59%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2