?
arrow_backBack to match
Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cuyes Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
KJ · 33 games
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 23 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
4nalog · 22 games
59%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
KJ · 18 games
61%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
K1 · 18 games
72%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
K1 · 18 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Scofield · 16 games
44%

Cuyes Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 7 games
86%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Mjz · 4 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Mjz · 3 games
67%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Parker · 3 games
67%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
365 picks · 759 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
339 picks · 329 bans
55%
Weaver
Weaver
334 picks · 687 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
333 picks · 235 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
311 picks · 466 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
299 picks · 367 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
297 picks · 488 bans
47%
Phoenix
Phoenix
284 picks · 603 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 65%
Hero pool strength53% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total73% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:5
Heroic 65%Cuyes Esports 35%
The model gave 65% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 25:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistK1
56% · 75 games47% · 85 games
TerrorbladeMnz
Terrorblade
Dazzle
Dazzle4nalog
51% · 17 games44% · 188 games
PangolierILICH-
Pangolier
Enigma
EnigmaDavai
52% · 51 game59% · 62 games
ChenMjz
Chen
Hoodwink
HoodwinkKJ
46% · 124 games
Slardar
SlardarScofield
49% · 68 games
Game 2prediction correct29:16
Heroic 63%Cuyes Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 27:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordK1
54% · 73 games51% · 89 games
WindrangerMnz
Windranger
Sand King
Sand KingDavai
45% · 17 games50% · 113 games
BrewmasterILICH-
Brewmaster
Dazzle
Dazzle4nalog
58% · 43 games48% · 110 games
EnchantressMjz
Enchantress
Snapfire
SnapfireScofield
39% · 62 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKJ
53% · 117 games
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 73%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2