BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4win 1:0series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OOpergrouploss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Klim Sani4
Dark Willow
swedenstrong · 9 games
Windrangersignature
swedenstrong · 8 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Rein · 8 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 7 games
Lycanoften banned
mangekyou · 7 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 5 games
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 5 games
Broodmother
mangekyou · 4 games
Opergroup
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
482 picks · 317 bans
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 502 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 386 bans
Bane
314 picks · 435 bans
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 624 bans
Mirana
290 picks · 106 bans
Dark Willow
282 picks · 117 bans
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 50%
Hero pool strength62% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:14
Klim Sani4 95%Opergroup 5%
The model gave 95% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 34:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 95%
Series resultKlim Sani4 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1