Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs predictionDBDudley boysloss 0:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:1
DMSwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dudley boys
Rubick
Pablo · 3 games
Snapfire
Panda · 3 games
Sven
Panda · 3 games
Razoroften banned
Shad · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
Shad · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
BOOM · 1 game
Doomoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Adzantick · 1 game
DMS
Jakiro
aik · 4 games
Skywrath Mage
prblms · 4 games
Visageoften banned
Daxak · 4 games
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
mellojul · 3 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 2 games
Hoodwink
prblms · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
372 picks · 761 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 328 bans
Rubick
339 picks · 237 bans
Weaver
335 picks · 689 bans
Clockwerk
316 picks · 467 bans
Gyrocopter
303 picks · 377 bans
Pangolier
301 picks · 507 bans
Phoenix
285 picks · 607 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 46%
Hero pool strength54% DMS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% DMS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Dudley boys 44%DMS 56%
The model gave 56% on DMS — the game was taken by DMS.
Model check result
Model favoriteDMS · 56%
Series resultDMS 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1