IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
Украинаloss 0:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Беларусьwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Украина
No games played over 6 months.
Беларусь
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
374 picks · 761 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 328 bans
Rubick
342 picks · 237 bans
Weaver
335 picks · 689 bans
Clockwerk
316 picks · 469 bans
Gyrocopter
305 picks · 377 bans
Pangolier
303 picks · 511 bans
Phoenix
286 picks · 607 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)83% vs 69%
Hero pool strength50% Украина
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% Беларусь
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Украина 49%Беларусь 51%
The model gave 51% on Беларусь — the game was taken by Беларусь.
Model check result
Model favoriteБеларусь · 51%
Series resultБеларусь 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1