IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Болгарияwin 2:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Северная Македонияloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Болгария
No games played over 6 months.
Северная Македония
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
383 picks · 753 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 317 bans
Rubick
345 picks · 232 bans
Weaver
338 picks · 686 bans
Clockwerk
318 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
310 picks · 381 bans
Pangolier
305 picks · 531 bans
Phoenix
289 picks · 606 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% Болгария
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% Северная Македония
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:34
Болгария 42%Северная Македония 58%
The model gave 58% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Северная Македония in 52:35.
Game 2prediction missed32:26
Болгария 42%Северная Македония 58%
The model gave 58% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Болгария in 44:34.
Game 3prediction missed18:34
Болгария 42%Северная Македония 58%
The model gave 58% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Болгария in 48:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteСеверная Македония · 58%
Series resultБолгария 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3