RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Teawin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Night Pulseloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Night Pulse
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 14 games
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
Grimstrokesignature
Hduo · 12 games
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 12 games
Clockwerksignature
JANTER · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
385 picks · 748 bans
Hoodwink
345 picks · 311 bans
Rubick
344 picks · 232 bans
Weaver
337 picks · 681 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 380 bans
Pangolier
306 picks · 536 bans
Phoenix
286 picks · 605 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% Night Pulse
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total51% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:25
Team Tea 49%Night Pulse 51%
The model gave 51% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Team Tea in 52:05.
Game 2prediction missed23:16
Team Tea 49%Night Pulse 51%
The model gave 51% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Team Tea in 24:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 51%
Series resultTeam Tea 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2