Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Enjoy Boys
Enchantressoften banned
swedenstrong · 2 games
Snapfireoften banned
Squad1x · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
v1olent- · 1 game
Bane
Rein · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
v1olent- · 1 game
Night Stalker
мистер мораль · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 1 game
Rubick
swedenstrong · 1 game
Rune Eaters
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 39 games
Tusk
ani-san · 38 games
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
Jakiro
monodrama · 35 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 28 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 24 games
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 24 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 22 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
587 picks · 358 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 578 bans
Rubick
474 picks · 253 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
395 picks · 546 bans
Puck
335 picks · 899 bans
Beastmaster
327 picks · 831 bans
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 466 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 48%
Hero pool strength60% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total70% Enjoy Boys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:2
Enjoy Boys 59%Rune Eaters 41%
The model gave 59% on Enjoy Boys — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 23:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetSquad1x
Necrophosyowaai
Shadow Fiendv1olent-
ViperEthereal
Beastmasterмистер мораль
SnapfireAnkou
Keeper of the Lightswedenstrong
Treant ProtectorKidaro
BaneRein
Tuskani-san
Game 2prediction correct2:0
Enjoy Boys 58%Rune Eaters 42%
The model gave 58% on Enjoy Boys — the game was taken by Enjoy Boys in 19:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tinyv1olent-
Drow Rangeryowaai
Storm SpiritSquad1x
SnapfireEthereal
Doomмистер мораль
DawnbreakerAnkou
Rubickswedenstrong
Spirit Breakerani-san
LichRein
EnchantressKidaro
Game 3prediction correct0:0
Enjoy Boys 60%Rune Eaters 40%
The model gave 60% on Enjoy Boys — the game was taken by Enjoy Boys in 22:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Rangerv1olent-
Doomyowaai
Axeмистер мораль
Keeper of the LightEthereal
Void SpiritSquad1x
KunkkaAnkou
Windrangerswedenstrong
Rubickani-san
LichRein
Witch DoctorKidaro
Model check result
Model favoriteEnjoy Boys · 70%
Series resultEnjoy Boys 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3