Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionswin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
389 picks · 747 bans
Hoodwink
345 picks · 310 bans
Rubick
344 picks · 232 bans
Weaver
338 picks · 679 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
307 picks · 539 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 41%
Hero pool strength50% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:23
Dandelions 82%Team Hryvnia 18%
The model gave 82% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia in 42:50.
Game 2prediction missed35:37
Dandelions 82%Team Hryvnia 18%
The model gave 82% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia in 46:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 82%
Series resultDandelions 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2