IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Турцияwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Сербияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Турция
No games played over 6 months.
Сербия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
389 picks · 742 bans
Hoodwink
345 picks · 303 bans
Rubick
344 picks · 227 bans
Weaver
338 picks · 673 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 381 bans
Pangolier
307 picks · 537 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Турция
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Сербия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:28
Турция 50%Сербия 50%
The model gave 50% on Сербия — the game was taken by Турция in 52:24.
Game 2prediction missed34:37
Турция 50%Сербия 50%
The model gave 50% on Сербия — the game was taken by Турция in 53:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteСербия · 50%
Series resultТурция 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2