IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Северная Македонияwin 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Венгрияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Северная Македония
No games played over 6 months.
Венгрия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
389 picks · 742 bans
Hoodwink
345 picks · 303 bans
Rubick
344 picks · 227 bans
Weaver
338 picks · 673 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 381 bans
Pangolier
307 picks · 537 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Северная Македония
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Северная Македония
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:17
Северная Македония 56%Венгрия 44%
The model gave 56% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Северная Македония in 32:33.
Game 2prediction correct40:42
Северная Македония 56%Венгрия 44%
The model gave 56% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Северная Македония in 39:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteСеверная Македония · 56%
Series resultСеверная Македония 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2