IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Францияloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Румынияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Франция
No games played over 6 months.
Румыния
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 731 bans
Hoodwink
344 picks · 292 bans
Rubick
338 picks · 225 bans
Weaver
337 picks · 660 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 379 bans
Pangolier
307 picks · 531 bans
Dark Willow
287 picks · 342 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Франция
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Румыния
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:35
Франция 47%Румыния 53%
The model gave 53% on Румыния — the game was taken by Румыния in 24:06.
Game 2prediction correct34:30
Франция 47%Румыния 53%
The model gave 53% on Румыния — the game was taken by Румыния in 37:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteРумыния · 53%
Series resultРумыния 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2