IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Хорватияloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Болгарияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Хорватия
No games played over 6 months.
Болгария
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 731 bans
Hoodwink
344 picks · 292 bans
Rubick
338 picks · 225 bans
Weaver
337 picks · 660 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 379 bans
Pangolier
307 picks · 531 bans
Dark Willow
287 picks · 342 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% Хорватия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Болгария
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:37
Хорватия 42%Болгария 58%
The model gave 58% on Болгария — the game was taken by Болгария in 31:14.
Game 2prediction correct39:11
Хорватия 42%Болгария 58%
The model gave 58% on Болгария — the game was taken by Болгария in 22:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteБолгария · 58%
Series resultБолгария 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2