Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
DMSwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
DMS
Jakiro
aik · 2 games
Skywrath Mage
Xakoda · 2 games
Visageoften banned
Daxak · 2 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Daxak · 1 game
Disruptoroften banned
Kaori · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Kaori · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
390 picks · 727 bans
Hoodwink
342 picks · 288 bans
Rubick
336 picks · 224 bans
Weaver
336 picks · 655 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
310 picks · 378 bans
Pangolier
305 picks · 530 bans
Dark Willow
287 picks · 342 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:20
Dandelions 59%DMS 41%
The model gave 59% on Dandelions — the game was taken by DMS in 39:42.
Game 2prediction missed20:38
Dandelions 59%DMS 41%
The model gave 59% on Dandelions — the game was taken by DMS in 36:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 59%
Series resultDMS 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2