IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Швецияwin 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Северная Македонияloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Швеция
No games played over 6 months.
Северная Македония
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 728 bans
Hoodwink
342 picks · 288 bans
Rubick
336 picks · 224 bans
Weaver
336 picks · 655 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 378 bans
Pangolier
306 picks · 531 bans
Dark Willow
289 picks · 342 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Швеция
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Северная Македония
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Швеция 50%Северная Македония 50%
The model gave 50% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Швеция.
Game 2prediction correct
Швеция 50%Северная Македония 50%
The model gave 50% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Северная Македония.
Game 3prediction missed
Швеция 50%Северная Македония 50%
The model gave 50% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Швеция.
Model check result
Model favoriteСеверная Македония · 50%
Series resultШвеция 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3