BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Two Moveloss 0:1series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Synapsewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Two Move
Rubicksignature
queezy · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 5 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 5 games
Ringmaster
Htrd · 5 games
Snapfireoften banned
queezy · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Bb3px · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 4 games
Techies
Htrd · 4 games
Team Synapse
Dark Willow
Jeezy · 10 games
Mirana
emptiness · 9 games
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 9 games
Baneoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
Hoodwink
emptiness · 5 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
emptiness · 4 games
Axeoften banned
emptiness · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
482 picks · 319 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 505 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 388 bans
Bane
314 picks · 438 bans
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 626 bans
Mirana
291 picks · 108 bans
Dark Willow
283 picks · 118 bans
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 65%
Hero pool strength59% Two Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Two Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTwo Move · 80%
Series resultTeam Synapse 0:1
Series predictionmissed