Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
F9 Team
No games played over 6 months.
Flame Esports
Rubick
Jeezy · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Stoic · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
emptiness · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 2 games
Doomoften banned
emptiness · 2 games
Huskaroften banned
legacy · 2 games
Techies
Jeezy · 2 games
Windranger
legacy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
585 picks · 356 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 577 bans
Rubick
470 picks · 251 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 383 bans
Pangolier
394 picks · 544 bans
Puck
334 picks · 901 bans
Beastmaster
327 picks · 831 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Flame Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% F9 Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
F9 Team 53%Flame Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on F9 Team — the game was taken by Flame Esports in 9:40.
Game 2prediction missed0:0
F9 Team 53%Flame Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on F9 Team — the game was taken by Flame Esports in 6:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteF9 Team · 53%
Series resultFlame Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2