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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MODUSwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 40 games
73%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 37 games
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 36 games
53%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
39%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 28 games
54%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 25 games
88%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 24 games
58%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 23 games
57%

MODUS

Rubick
Rubick
mrls · 9 games
22%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
kasane · 8 games
38%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tiny
bottega · 8 games
25%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
prblms · 7 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
elmo^^ · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
mrls · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
582 picks · 355 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
485 picks · 577 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
469 picks · 249 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 381 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
394 picks · 544 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
333 picks · 899 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
327 picks · 831 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 467 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 39%
Hero pool strength57% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total55% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
Rune Eaters 54%MODUS 46%
The model gave 54% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by MODUS in 58:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
Juggernautyowaai
52% · 56 games43% · 337 games
PuckMirele
Puck
Snapfire
SnapfireAnkou
53% · 164 games49% · 17 games
Phantom Lancerbottega
Phantom Lancer
Huskar
HuskarEthereal
62% · 83 games47% · 206 games
Underlordelmo^^
Underlord
Lich
LichKidaro
51% · 51 game55% · 82 games
Treant Protectorkasane
Treant Protector
Tusk
Tuskani-san
46% · 380 games47% · 92 games
Lionprblms
Lion
Game 2prediction missed0:0
Rune Eaters 54%MODUS 46%
The model gave 54% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by MODUS in 26:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeryowaai
38% · 42 games46% · 157 games
Void SpiritMirele
Void Spirit
Monkey King
Monkey KingEthereal
46% · 184 games58% · 60 games
Alchemistbottega
Alchemist
Largo
LargoAnkou
60% · 136 games52% · 141 game
Doomelmo^^
Doom
Undying
UndyingKidaro
48% · 109 games52% · 304 games
Hoodwinkprblms
Hoodwink
Ringmaster
Ringmasterani-san
49% · 210 games43% · 19 games
Witch Doctorkasane
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 55%
Series resultMODUS 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2