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Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 14 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 14 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 12 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
JANTER · 11 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Hduo · 11 games
64%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 11 games
73%

Level UP

Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 9 games
22%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jeezy · 7 games
14%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
0%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Delight · 6 games
33%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ififall · 5 games
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
395 picks · 723 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
337 picks · 284 bans
55%
Weaver
Weaver
332 picks · 647 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
331 picks · 220 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
320 picks · 470 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
317 picks · 375 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
301 picks · 536 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
292 picks · 346 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 26%
Hero pool strength67% Night Pulse
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total79% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Night Pulse 79%Level UP 21%
The model gave 79% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Game 2prediction correct
Night Pulse 79%Level UP 21%
The model gave 79% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 79%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2