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BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Synapseloss 0:2
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GamerLegionwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Synapse

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Jeezy · 10 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
emptiness · 9 games
44%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 9 games
44%
Bane
Baneoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
20%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
emptiness · 5 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
emptiness · 4 games
75%
Axe
Axeoften banned
emptiness · 3 games
33%

GamerLegion

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 20 games
50%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Speeed · 20 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Bignum · 19 games
37%
Kez
Kezoften banned
RCY · 19 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 17 games
76%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Speeed · 17 games
35%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 15 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
483 picks · 320 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 508 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
316 picks · 388 bans
53%
Bane
Bane
314 picks · 438 bans
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
300 picks · 629 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
292 picks · 108 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
285 picks · 118 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 46%
Hero pool strength50% GamerLegion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:13
Team Synapse 21%GamerLegion 79%
The model gave 79% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 22:19.
Game 2prediction correct22:48
Team Synapse 21%GamerLegion 79%
The model gave 79% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 42:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 79%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2