Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Teawin 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Night Pulseloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Night Pulse
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 13 games
Clockwerksignature
JANTER · 11 games
Grimstrokesignature
Hduo · 11 games
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 11 games
Phoenixsignature
Hduo · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
394 picks · 716 bans
Hoodwink
332 picks · 276 bans
Weaver
331 picks · 640 bans
Rubick
324 picks · 219 bans
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 372 bans
Clockwerk
320 picks · 472 bans
Dark Willow
299 picks · 349 bans
Pangolier
299 picks · 540 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 51%
Hero pool strength56% Night Pulse
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total55% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:17
Team Tea 45%Night Pulse 55%
The model gave 55% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Team Tea in 35:25.
Game 2prediction missed65:59
Team Tea 45%Night Pulse 55%
The model gave 55% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Team Tea in 1:38:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 55%
Series resultTeam Tea 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2