RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Rest Farmersloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelionswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
389 picks · 714 bans
Weaver
330 picks · 631 bans
Hoodwink
325 picks · 269 bans
Rubick
323 picks · 218 bans
Gyrocopter
321 picks · 373 bans
Clockwerk
320 picks · 469 bans
Dark Willow
302 picks · 350 bans
Pangolier
299 picks · 537 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% Rest Farmers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:47
Rest Farmers 44%Dandelions 56%
The model gave 56% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 52:56.
Game 2prediction correct33:35
Rest Farmers 44%Dandelions 56%
The model gave 56% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 51:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 56%
Series resultDandelions 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2