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Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Tealoss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Level UPwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Tea

No games played over 6 months.

Level UP

Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 9 games
22%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jeezy · 7 games
14%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jeezy · 7 games
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
0%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ififall · 5 games
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
ififall · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
389 picks · 712 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
330 picks · 629 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
325 picks · 268 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
323 picks · 218 bans
48%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
321 picks · 372 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
320 picks · 469 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
301 picks · 350 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
299 picks · 537 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 24%
Hero pool strength65% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:43
Team Tea 56%Level UP 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Level UP in 28:56.
Game 2prediction missed16:30
Team Tea 56%Level UP 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Level UP in 25:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 56%
Series resultLevel UP 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2