RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Night Pulseloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Night Pulse
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 12 games
Clockwerksignature
JANTER · 11 games
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 11 games
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 11 games
Disruptorsignature
Hduo · 10 games
Lifestealeroften banned
V-Tune · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
387 picks · 694 bans
Clockwerk
321 picks · 464 bans
Gyrocopter
321 picks · 375 bans
Weaver
320 picks · 608 bans
Hoodwink
315 picks · 243 bans
Rubick
315 picks · 204 bans
Dark Willow
309 picks · 350 bans
Pangolier
294 picks · 540 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed58:51
Dandelions 54%Night Pulse 46%
The model gave 54% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 1:06:59.
Game 2prediction missed14:28
Dandelions 54%Night Pulse 46%
The model gave 54% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 25:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 54%
Accuracy by game0 of 2