RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Rest Farmersloss 1:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Crystal Maiden
aik · 27 games
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 25 games
Rubick
queezy · 24 games
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 23 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 17 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
Weaveroften banned
Lukas · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
386 picks · 685 bans
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 375 bans
Clockwerk
320 picks · 459 bans
Weaver
315 picks · 600 bans
Dark Willow
311 picks · 352 bans
Hoodwink
311 picks · 235 bans
Rubick
309 picks · 203 bans
Pangolier
291 picks · 543 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total53% Rest Farmers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:5
Rest Farmers 53%Nemiga Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers in 25:03.
Game 2prediction missed24:49
Rest Farmers 53%Nemiga Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 39:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteRest Farmers · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2